METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
25 Feb 2023
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Sakai
59%
Mayes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Augusto SakaiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Don'Tale Mayes · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mayes
→
Actual result
Sakai wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sakai at 41% vs Mayes at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Sakai's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mayes has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SakaiMayes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sakai
Mayes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+81"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sakai
Mayes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.5
41.2
44.4
Performance Avg
37.8
37
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
43
Sakai
Mayes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
4.6
5.9
Style: Volume
4.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
7
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance9
10Clinch3
2Ground0
Sakai
Mayes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sakai
Mayes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
56
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Sakai
Mayes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sakai
Mayes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sakai
Mayes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
SakaiMayes
Strike Zones
Sakai
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMayes
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sakai targets the head (61% of attacks) — Mayes absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Mayes targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sakai
RND
Mayes
0/0R00/0
Sakai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
Mayes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GazievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11