METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
25 Feb 2023
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Sakai
51%
Mayes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Augusto SakaiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Don'Tale Mayes · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mayes
→
Actual result
Sakai wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sakai at 49% vs Mayes at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sakai has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sakai's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mayes has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SakaiMayes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sakai
Mayes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+81"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sakai
Mayes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.9
41.2
44.4
Performance Avg
37.8
37
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
43
Sakai
Mayes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
7
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance9
10Clinch3
2Ground0
Sakai
Mayes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sakai
Mayes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
56
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Sakai
Mayes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sakai
Mayes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sakai
Mayes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
SakaiMayes
Strike Zones
Sakai
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMayes
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sakai targets the head (61% of attacks) — Mayes absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Mayes targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sakai
RND
Mayes
0/0R00/0
Sakai · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Mayes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Sakai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
Mayes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GazievRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11