METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Welterweight
VS
80%
Ayari
20%
Wallhead
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jessin AyariwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jim Wallhead · UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ayari
→
Actual result
Ayari wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ayari is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ayari has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Wallhead throws more volume but Ayari connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AyariWallhead
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ayari
Wallhead
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
34+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ayari
Wallhead
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
2.4
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Ayari
Wallhead
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.7
34%
Strike Accuracy
24%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
15
5
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
28Distance20
5Clinch0
0Ground2
Ayari
Wallhead
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ayari
Wallhead
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/40 fights
Ayari
Wallhead
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Ayari
Wallhead
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ayari
Wallhead
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AyariWallhead
Strike Zones
Ayari
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedWallhead
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ayari targets the head (85% of attacks) — Wallhead absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Wallhead targets the head (68% of attacks) — Ayari absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ayari
RND
Wallhead
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ayari · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Wallhead · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Ayari · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Luigi VendraminiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Darren TillRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Jim WallheadRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
Wallhead · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Luan ChagasRating 2.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09