UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Women's Flyweight
VS
51%
Silva
49%
Namajunas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Natalia
Natalia Silva
20 – 5
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw29 yrs8-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Rose
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15 – 8
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 51% vs Namajunas at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Namajunas has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Namajunas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
29+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Namajunas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.7
63.2
59.5
Performance Avg
55.9
33
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Namajunas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
7
Body
1
10
Leg
3
RangeRange
27Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Namajunas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Namajunas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
19/23 fights
Silva
Namajunas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
8-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Silva
Namajunas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
42%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Namajunas
Striking4.5 / 2.9Volume8.0 / 5.9Grappling1.8 / 3.4Wrestling1.3 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.8 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
Silva
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Silva
Attacking
11HEAD7BODY10LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Namajunas
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD7BODY10LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (39% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Namajunas targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Namajunas
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.4W5.5W5.0W4.9W5.2W5.3W5.7W5.9W2022-062023-052024-022025-052026-01
WinLossTrend

Namajunas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0103.0L5.1W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W2.9L5.3W6.8W6.3W5.8L7.1L4.6W5.2W7.0L5.3W7.0L2014-122017-042021-042024-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Namajunas · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Natalia Silva · Rose Namajunas
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