The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2014
Women's Strawweight
VS
6%
Kagan
94%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
Hill is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kagan
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
Reach
64"
44
Age
+41
—
Stance
Orthodox
Kagan
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
36.2
0.0
Performance Avg
36.7
0
Quality of Victory
31
0
Momentum Score
40
Kagan
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
33%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
18
4
Body
14
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
9Clinch24
0Ground2
Kagan
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kagan
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
48
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/6 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Kagan
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kagan
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
15%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kagan
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
KaganHill
Strike Zones
Kagan
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedHill
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kagan targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (55% of attacks) — Kagan absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kagan
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kagan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kagan · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Kailin CurranRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
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