The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2014
Women's Strawweight
VS
6%
Kagan
94%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EK
Emily Kagan
33
5'3"44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
Angela
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
1816
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hill

Hill is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kagan
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
Reach
64"
44
Age
+41
Stance
Orthodox
Kagan
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
36.2
0.0
Performance Avg
36.7
0
Quality of Victory
31
0
Momentum Score
40
Kagan
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
33%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
18
4
Body
14
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
9Clinch24
0Ground2
Kagan
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kagan
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
48
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Strikes absorbed / min
2/6 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Kagan
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kagan
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
15%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kagan
Hill
Striking0.0 / 1.7Volume0.0 / 7.0Grappling0.0 / 2.5Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.8Pressure0.0 / 2.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Kagan
Strike Zones
Hill
Kagan
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY7LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD14BODY1LEGS33 absorbed
Hill
Attacking
18HEAD14BODY1LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY7LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kagan targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (55% of attacks) — Kagan absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kagan
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Kagan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.6L2.8L2014-122015-12
WinLossTrend

Hill · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W6.2L2.9L6.3L4.5W5.5L5.1W5.5L1.5L4.5W6.5L5.5W5.2W5.4W5.5L5.5L4.5W6.2L6.6L6.2L5.0W4.5W6.7L5.8W5.3W6.2L4.9W6.4L7.1L2014-122019-032021-032024-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Kagan · Last 2

L · Sub · R2
Kailin CurranRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12

Hill · Last 5

Upcoming
Xiong Jingnan
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Emily Kagan · Angela Hill
← Back to fights