UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Lightweight
VS
27%
Lazaro
73%
Prazeres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
VL
Valmir Lazaro
"Bidu"
15 – 5
6'0"73" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 11
MP
Michel Prazeres
"Tractor"
26 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Prazeres

Prazeres is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Lazaro throws more volume but Prazeres connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Lazaro
Prazeres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'6"
73"+
Reach
67"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lazaro
Prazeres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.3
30.5
28.3
Performance Avg
48.3
25
Quality of Victory
33
33
Momentum Score
85
Lazaro
Prazeres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
32%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lazaro
Prazeres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lazaro
Prazeres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/20 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Lazaro
Prazeres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
85
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lazaro
Prazeres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
30%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lazaro
Prazeres
Striking0.7 / 1.4Volume8.7 / 7.0Grappling2.4 / 4.1Wrestling1.7 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 3.0Pressure1.0 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Lazaro
Strike Zones
Prazeres
Lazaro
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Prazeres
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lazaro targets the head (94% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Prazeres targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lazaro absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lazaro
RND
Prazeres
0/0R00/0

Lazaro · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L4.5W5.5L2014-082015-022015-11
WinLossTrend

Prazeres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.7W5.0W5.5W4.5W4.9W5.0W6.0L4.8L2013-052015-112017-092019-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Lazaro · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
James VickRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08

Prazeres · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

News & Media

Valmir Lazaro · Michel Prazeres
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