UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
4 Sept 2013
Middleweight
VS
47%
Natal
53%
Troeng
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RN
Rafael Natal
"Sapo"
21 – 9
6'0"77" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
TT
Tor Troeng
"The Hammer"
16 – 7
Submission Hunter3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Troeng

This is a genuine toss-up — Natal at 47% vs Troeng at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Troeng has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Natal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Natal's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Natal
Troeng
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Natal
Troeng
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
17.2
40.5
Performance Avg
42.4
30
Quality of Victory
54
81
Momentum Score
29
Natal
Troeng
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground1
Natal
Troeng
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Natal
Troeng
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Natal
Troeng
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
29
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Natal
Troeng
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Natal
Troeng
Striking2.2 / 0.5Volume7.3 / 0.5Grappling2.8 / 8.0Wrestling1.9 / 5.6Submission1.1 / 10.0Pressure3.2 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Natal
Strike Zones
Troeng
Natal
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Troeng
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Natal targets the head (90% of attacks) — Troeng absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Troeng targets the head (100% of attacks) — Natal absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Natal
RND
Troeng
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Natal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.7L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.4L1.5L2.3L2010-092013-012014-052016-012017-07
WinLossTrend

Troeng · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2013-042013-092014-072014-10
WinLossTrend

Natal · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Eryk AndersRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · KO · R3
Kevin CaseyRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Uriah HallRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

Troeng · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Rafael NatalRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
W · Sub · R1
Adam CellaRating 5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04

News & Media

Rafael Natal · Tor Troeng
← Back to fights