UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jun 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
77%
O'Neill
23%
Procopio
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:54
Casey
Casey O'Neill
"King"
112
5'6"69" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight win streakStriker
CFR 59
LP
Lara Procopio
72
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: O'Neill

O'Neill is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

O'Neill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Striking split: O'Neill throws more volume but Procopio connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

O'Neill
Procopio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
69"+
Reach
67"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
O'Neill
Procopio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.5
17.4
56.5
Performance Avg
28.3
44
Quality of Victory
25
58
Momentum Score
33
O'Neill
Procopio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
62%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
1Clinch2
1Ground0
O'Neill
Procopio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Neill
Procopio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Strikes absorbed / min
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
O'Neill
Procopio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
33
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
O'Neill
Procopio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

O'Neill
Procopio
Striking6.5 / 0.7Volume4.2 / 8.7Grappling2.1 / 2.4Wrestling1.5 / 1.7Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
O'Neill
Strike Zones
Procopio
O'Neill
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Procopio
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯O'Neill targets the head (57% of attacks) — Procopio absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Procopio targets the head (50% of attacks) — O'Neill absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

O'Neill
RND
Procopio
0/0R00/0

O'Neill · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L2.8L6.2W5.4W2021-022021-102023-032024-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Procopio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.2L5.2W5.2L2019-082021-022021-06
WinLossTrend

O'Neill · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Gabriella FernandesRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana SantosRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

Procopio · Last 3

L · Sub · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Molly McCannRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08

News & Media

Casey O'Neill · Lara Procopio
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