UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Catch Weight
VS
58%
Krylov
42%
Spann
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:38
Nikita
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
31 – 11
6'3"77" reachOrthodox34 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 60
Ryan
Ryan Spann
"Superman"
24 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Krylov

This is a genuine toss-up — Krylov at 58% vs Spann at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Krylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Spann has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Krylov
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+79"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krylov
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
43.3
52.7
Performance Avg
54.8
50
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
10
Krylov
Spann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.8
60%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
2
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
3Clinch1
1Ground0
Krylov
Spann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krylov
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/42 fights
Chin rating based on
16/35 fights
Krylov
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
10
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Krylov
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Krylov
Spann
Striking5.3 / 5.3Volume2.5 / 2.9Grappling3.7 / 3.7Wrestling2.6 / 2.6Submission4.2 / 4.0Pressure7.5 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Krylov
Strike Zones
Spann
Krylov
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Spann
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY3LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (80% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Krylov
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0

Krylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W1.5L3.3L5.8W5.9L5.3W7.0L2.2L5.0W5.3W5.4W2.5L3.5L6.3W2013-082016-052020-032025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Spann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W2.3L5.0W2.7L5.3W6.0W2.7L6.7L4.8L5.6W4.3L5.0W5.2W2018-092020-092022-112024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Krylov · Last 5

Upcoming
Robert Whittaker
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

Spann · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

News & Media

Nikita Krylov · Ryan Spann
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