Al Iaquinta vs King Green — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2

New York City, USA

6 Nov 2021

Lightweight

34%

Iaquinta

66%

Green

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 2:25

Al Iaquinta

"Raging"

14 – 7

5'10"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 26

King Green

35 – 17

Well-Rounded4-fight win streak40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"

CFR 50

★ Official Result

King GreenwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:25

def. Al Iaquinta · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Green

→

Actual result

Green wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Green holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Iaquinta has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

IaquintaGreen

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Iaquinta

Green

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"

Height

5'10"

70"

Reach

+71"

39+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Iaquinta

Green

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

25.8

50.1

47.0

Performance Avg

47.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Iaquinta

Green

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.6

/ 10

4.1

/ 10

4.9

Style: Pressure

5.0

5.6

Style: Volume

5.4

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

10Distance16

0Clinch0

0Ground12

Iaquinta

Green

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.3

/ 10

2.7

/ 10

0.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.9

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Iaquinta

Green

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.2 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

5 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/21 fights

Chin rating based on

32/52 fights

Iaquinta

Green

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

Last 5

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Iaquinta

Green

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

44%

47%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Iaquinta

Green

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.1

1.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.7

0.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.9

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.8

4.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.0

5.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.4

Iaquinta

Strike Zones

Green

Iaquinta

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

28 absorbed

Green

Attacking

28 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Iaquinta targets the head (50% of attacks) — Green absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Green targets the head (82% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Iaquinta

RND

Green

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Iaquinta · Last 5

L · KO · R1

King Green

KO/TKO

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

L · Dec · R3

Dan Hooker

Decision

UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10

L · Dec · R5

Donald Cerrone

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05

W · Dec · R5

Kevin Lee

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12

L · Dec · R5

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Decision

UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

Green · Last 5

Upcoming

Esteban Ribovics

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

W · KO · R1

Terrance McKinney

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Sub · R1

Jeremy Stephens

Submission

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R2

Daniel Zellhuber

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

W · Dec · R3

Lance Gibson Jr.

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

News & Media

Al Iaquinta · King Green

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