METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter Australia vs. UK Welterweight Tournament
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Ultimate Fighter Australia vs. UK Welterweight Tournament
VS
77%
Whittaker
23%
Scott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
BS
Brad Scott
"Bear"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Robert WhittakerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brad Scott · UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Whittaker
→
Actual result
Whittaker wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Whittaker is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Whittaker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WhittakerScott
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Whittaker
Scott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whittaker
Scott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
15.8
56.0
Performance Avg
40.7
46
Quality of Victory
43
71
Momentum Score
41
Whittaker
Scott
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
15
3
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
34Distance21
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Whittaker
Scott
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Whittaker
Scott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Whittaker
Scott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
41
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Whittaker
Scott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Scott
Striking5.0 / 0.8Volume6.6 / 3.4Grappling1.6 / 6.1Wrestling1.1 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure4.6 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Scott
Whittaker
Attacking
34HEAD3BODY0LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Scott
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD3BODY0LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (92% of attacks) — Scott absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Scott targets the head (71% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Scott
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Scott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0106.4L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W2.4L5.5L2012-122014-032016-022017-082018-05
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Scott · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.Rating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · Dec · R3
Scott AskhamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · Sub · R2
Dylan AndrewsRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Brad Scott
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