METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter Australia vs. UK Welterweight Tournament
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Ultimate Fighter Australia vs. UK Welterweight Tournament
VS
77%
Whittaker
23%
Scott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
279
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 54
BS
Brad Scott
"Bear"
116
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Robert WhittakerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brad Scott · UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Whittaker
Actual result
Whittaker wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Whittaker is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WhittakerScott
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Whittaker
Scott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whittaker
Scott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
15.8
56.6
Performance Avg
40.7
46
Quality of Victory
43
71
Momentum Score
41
Whittaker
Scott
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
5.8
6.3
Style: Volume
3.4
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
15
3
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
34Distance21
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Whittaker
Scott
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Scott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Whittaker
Scott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
41
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Whittaker
Scott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Scott
Striking5.3 / 0.8Volume6.3 / 3.4Grappling1.5 / 6.1Wrestling1.0 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure4.9 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Scott
Whittaker
Attacking
34HEAD3BODY0LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Scott
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD3BODY0LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (92% of attacks) — Scott absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Scott targets the head (71% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Scott
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Whittaker · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Nikita Krylov
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de Ridder
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat Chimaev
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram Aliskerov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo Costa
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Scott · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · KO · R1
Jack Hermansson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · Dec · R3
Scott Askham
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof Jotko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · Sub · R2
Dylan Andrews
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Brad Scott
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