★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter Australia vs. UK Welterweight Tournament
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Ultimate Fighter Australia vs. UK Welterweight Tournament
VS
77%
Whittaker
23%
Scott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Whittaker
Whittaker is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Whittaker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Whittaker
Scott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whittaker
Scott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
15.8
56.0
Performance Avg
40.7
46
Quality of Victory
43
71
Momentum Score
41
Whittaker
Scott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
15
3
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
34Distance21
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Whittaker
Scott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Whittaker
Scott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Whittaker
Scott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
41
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Whittaker
Scott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whittaker
Scott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
WhittakerScott
Strike Zones
Whittaker
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedScott
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (92% of attacks) — Scott absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Scott targets the head (71% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whittaker
RND
Scott
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Whittaker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Scott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Whittaker · Last 5
Upcoming
Nikita KrylovUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Scott · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.Rating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · Dec · R3
Scott AskhamRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · Sub · R2
Dylan AndrewsRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
