UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Goiania, Brazil
30 May 2015
Flyweight
VS
49%
Formiga
51%
Reis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JF
Jussier Formiga
23 – 8
5'5"67" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
WR
Wilson Reis
23 – 10
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Reis

This is a genuine toss-up — Formiga at 49% vs Reis at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Reis throws more volume but Formiga connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Formiga's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Formiga
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
65"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Formiga
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
15.5
42.7
Performance Avg
41.5
34
Quality of Victory
33
64
Momentum Score
65
Formiga
Reis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
33%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
1
Body
5
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch8
0Ground0
Formiga
Reis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Formiga
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Formiga
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Formiga
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Formiga
Reis
Striking1.1 / 1.1Volume6.5 / 6.8Grappling4.3 / 4.0Wrestling3.0 / 2.8Submission3.3 / 2.9Pressure4.0 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Formiga
Strike Zones
Reis
Formiga
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Reis
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Formiga targets the head (75% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (46% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Formiga
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Formiga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W7.0L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.6W2.8L6.4L2.8L2012-102014-082017-032019-032020-06
WinLossTrend

Reis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.2L5.5L4.5W2.8L2013-092015-052017-042019-04
WinLossTrend

Formiga · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

Reis · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04

News & Media

Jussier Formiga · Wilson Reis
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