UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Lightweight
VS
49%
Gamrot
51%
Turner
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mateusz
Mateusz Gamrot
"Gamer"
26 – 4
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Jalin
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
15 – 9
Knockout Artist31 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'3"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Turner

This is a genuine toss-up — Gamrot at 49% vs Turner at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Turner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Turner has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gamrot
Turner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+77"
35
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Gamrot
Turner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
59.7
52.9
Performance Avg
56.4
42
Quality of Victory
56
66
Momentum Score
65
Gamrot
Turner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
3.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
0
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch1
3Ground1
Gamrot
Turner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gamrot
Turner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/30 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Gamrot
Turner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
65
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Gamrot
Turner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gamrot
Turner
Striking4.7 / 7.4Volume4.9 / 1.1Grappling2.8 / 3.0Wrestling2.0 / 2.1Submission2.2 / 3.8Pressure6.0 / 8.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
Gamrot
Strike Zones
Turner
Gamrot
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD6BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Turner
Attacking
4HEAD6BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gamrot targets the head (100% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Turner targets the body (60% of attacks) — Gamrot absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gamrot
RND
Turner
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gamrot · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.6L5.2W5.5W6.3W6.1W6.5L5.7W6.1W4.7W6.4L5.7W3.5L5.9W2020-102022-062024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Turner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.0L5.0W5.7L5.6W5.2W6.8W5.4W5.0W6.6L6.4L5.7W3.5L2.8L5.5W2018-102020-092023-032025-032025-12
WinLossTrend

Gamrot · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

Turner · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

News & Media

Mateusz Gamrot · Jalin Turner
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