METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Lightweight
VS
45%
Gamrot
55%
Turner
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mateusz GamrotwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jalin Turner · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Turner
→
Actual result
Gamrot wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Gamrot at 45% vs Turner at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Turner has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GamrotTurner
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gamrot
Turner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+77"
35
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Gamrot
Turner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.6
64.4
50.9
Performance Avg
57.8
42
Quality of Victory
56
55
Momentum Score
85
Gamrot
Turner
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
8.8
4.8
Style: Volume
1.2
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
0
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch1
3Ground1
Gamrot
Turner
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gamrot
Turner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Gamrot
Turner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
85
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Gamrot
Turner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gamrot
Turner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
GamrotTurner
Strike Zones
Gamrot
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTurner
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gamrot targets the head (100% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Turner targets the body (60% of attacks) — Gamrot absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gamrot
RND
Turner
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gamrot · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
W · Sub · R2
Esteban RibovicsSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesSubmission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12