UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Middleweight
VS
38%
Holmes
62%
Park
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Park
Park holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Holmes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holmes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Park throws more volume but Holmes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Holmes's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Park has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Holmes
Park
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'10"
80"+
Reach
73"
30+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holmes
Park
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
57.0
42.4
Performance Avg
47.9
54
Quality of Victory
34
29
Momentum Score
100
Holmes
Park
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Holmes
Park
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holmes
Park
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Holmes
Park
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Holmes
Park
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holmes
Park
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
HolmesPark
Strike Zones
Holmes
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPark
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holmes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Park absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Park targets the head (83% of attacks) — Holmes absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holmes
RND
Park
0/0R00/0
Holmes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Park · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Holmes · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Claudio RibeiroRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · Sub · R2
JunYong ParkRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Alen AmedovskiRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Park · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ikram AliskerovRating 7.2Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Sub · R2
Albert DuraevRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07