UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
San Jose, USA
11 Jul 2012
Bantamweight
VS
4%
Page
96%
Caceres
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Caceres
Caceres is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Caceres has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Page's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Page
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Page
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
39.7
0.0
Performance Avg
42.2
0
Quality of Victory
34
0
Momentum Score
76
Page
Caceres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.7
39%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
1
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Page
Caceres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.9
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Page
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/29 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Page
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Page
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Page
Caceres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
PageCaceres
Strike Zones
Page
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCaceres
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Page targets the head (50% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (40% of attacks) — Page absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Page
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
Page · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.4WinLossTrend
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Page · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Alex CaceresRating 3Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Sub · R2
Brad PickettRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R1
Brian BowlesRating 1.5Submission
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
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