METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
San Jose, USA
11 Jul 2012
Bantamweight
VS
4%
Page
96%
Caceres
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:27
★ Official Result
Alex CacereswinsSubmissionR2 · 1:27
def. Damacio Page · UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Caceres
→
Actual result
Caceres wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Caceres is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Caceres has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Risk flags
Page's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PageCaceres
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Page
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Page
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
39.7
0.0
Performance Avg
42.2
0
Quality of Victory
34
0
Momentum Score
76
Page
Caceres
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
3.8
0.0
Style: Volume
6.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
1
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Page
Caceres
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Page
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/29 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Page
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Page
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Page
Caceres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
PageCaceres
Strike Zones
Page
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCaceres
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Page targets the head (50% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (40% of attacks) — Page absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Page
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
Page · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Alex CaceresSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Sub · R2
Brad PickettSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R1
Brian BowlesSubmission
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonDecision
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Daniel PinedaDecision
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W · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
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