UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2016
Welterweight
VS
67%
Pyle
33%
Spencer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pyle
Pyle holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Spencer has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pyle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Spencer throws more volume but Pyle connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pyle's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spencer has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pyle
Spencer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
50
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pyle
Spencer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
9.8
47.8
Performance Avg
30.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
25
Pyle
Spencer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
13
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance13
16Clinch1
2Ground0
Pyle
Spencer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pyle
Spencer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Pyle
Spencer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pyle
Spencer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pyle
Spencer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
PyleSpencer
Strike Zones
Pyle
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedSpencer
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pyle targets the head (89% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Spencer targets the head (93% of attacks) — Pyle absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pyle
RND
Spencer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pyle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Spencer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Pyle · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zak OttowRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Alex GarciaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Alberto MinaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Spencer · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8Submission
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R3
Mike PyleRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03