UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Flyweight
VS
48%
Mokaev
52%
Kape
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Muhammad
Muhammad Mokaev
"The Punisher"
13 – 0
5'7"70" reachOrthodox25 yrs7-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Manel
Manel Kape
"StarBoy"
22 – 7
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak32 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'5"
CFR 70

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kape

This is a genuine toss-up — Mokaev at 48% vs Kape at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Kape has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Kape has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Mokaev
Kape
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
68"
25+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Mokaev
Kape
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
69.6
62.6
Performance Avg
61.4
38
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
89
Mokaev
Kape
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
2.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
59%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Mokaev
Kape
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
5.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mokaev
Kape
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
11/29 fights
Mokaev
Kape
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
89
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Mokaev
Kape
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mokaev
Kape
Striking2.0 / 8.5Volume5.4 / 3.7Grappling5.6 / 0.7Wrestling3.9 / 0.5Submission5.7 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Mokaev
Strike Zones
Kape
Mokaev
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Kape
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mokaev targets the head (70% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Kape targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mokaev absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mokaev
RND
Kape
0/0R00/0

Mokaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.1W5.4W5.5W6.6W5.6W5.8W6.2W2022-032022-102023-102024-07
WinLossTrend

Kape · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.8L5.7L5.8W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.9L6.4W6.4W5.8W2021-022021-122024-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Mokaev · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · Sub · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 6.6
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Sub · R3
Malcolm GordonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

Kape · Last 5

Upcoming
Kyoji Horiguchi
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Muhammad Mokaev · Manel Kape
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