METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Middleweight
VS
88%
Jensen
12%
Steinbeiss
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:56
★ Official Result
Ryan JensenwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:56
def. Steve Steinbeiss · UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jensen
→
Actual result
Jensen wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Jensen is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Risk flags
Jensen's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JensenSteinbeiss
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"+
Reach
75"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
2.4
42.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.5
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/29 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JensenSteinbeiss
Strike Zones
Jensen
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedSteinbeiss
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jensen targets the head (78% of attacks) — Steinbeiss absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Steinbeiss targets the head (86% of attacks) — Jensen absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jensen
RND
Steinbeiss
0/0R00/0
Jensen · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jason MacDonaldSubmission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Sub · R3
Court McGeeSubmission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R1
Jesse ForbesSubmission
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mark MunozKO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01
W · Sub · R1
Steve SteinbeissSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
Steinbeiss · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Rob KimmonsDecision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09