UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Middleweight
VS
88%
Jensen
12%
Steinbeiss
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:56
RJ
Ryan Jensen
21 – 8
6'1"76" reachOrthodox48 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
SS
Steve Steinbeiss
"The Hooligan"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jensen

Jensen is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.

Steinbeiss has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jensen's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jensen
Steinbeiss
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"+
Reach
75"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
2.4
42.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/29 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Jensen
Steinbeiss
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jensen
Steinbeiss
Striking0.5 / 0.0Volume0.5 / 0.0Grappling8.0 / 0.0Wrestling5.6 / 0.0Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Jensen
Strike Zones
Steinbeiss
Jensen
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Steinbeiss
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jensen targets the head (78% of attacks) — Steinbeiss absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Steinbeiss targets the head (86% of attacks) — Jensen absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jensen
RND
Steinbeiss
0/0R00/0

Jensen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.9
0101.5L1.5L2.8L5.0W1.5L5.0W4.2L1.5L2007-082008-092010-012010-102011-04
WinLossTrend

Steinbeiss · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L5.5L2009-092010-08
WinLossTrend

Jensen · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Sub · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.2
Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R1
Jesse ForbesRating 5
Submission
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mark MunozRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01
W · Sub · R1
Steve SteinbeissRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09

Steinbeiss · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09

News & Media

Ryan Jensen · Steve Steinbeiss
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