METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Lightweight
VS
79%
Gaethje
21%
Vick
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:27
★ Official Result
Justin GaethjewinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:27
def. James Vick · UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gaethje
→
Actual result
Gaethje wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Gaethje is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gaethje has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Gaethje's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vick has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GaethjeVick
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gaethje
Vick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+76"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gaethje
Vick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.6
17.7
65.5
Performance Avg
50.2
63
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
71
Gaethje
Vick
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
5.8
4.3
Style: Volume
4.8
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
2
Body
5
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance10
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Gaethje
Vick
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gaethje
Vick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/32 fights
Chin rating based on
14/18 fights
Gaethje
Vick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Gaethje
Vick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
56%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gaethje
Vick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
GaethjeVick
Strike Zones
Gaethje
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedVick
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gaethje targets the head (43% of attacks) — Vick absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Vick targets the body (50% of attacks) — Gaethje absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gaethje
RND
Vick
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gaethje · Last 5
W · KO · R4
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R5
Paddy PimblettDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R5
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Vick · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Dan HookerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02