UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Miami, USA
8 Apr 2023
Catch Weight
VS
62%
Bahamondes
38%
Ogden
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bahamondes
Bahamondes holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Ogden has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahamondes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Bahamondes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Bahamondes
Ogden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
28+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bahamondes
Ogden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.3
37.3
53.4
Performance Avg
35.0
49
Quality of Victory
25
64
Momentum Score
40
Bahamondes
Ogden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
15
Body
4
16
Leg
0
RangeRange
43Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bahamondes
Ogden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bahamondes
Ogden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
7/25 fights
Bahamondes
Ogden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Bahamondes
Ogden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bahamondes
Ogden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
BahamondesOgden
Strike Zones
Bahamondes
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedOgden
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bahamondes targets the legs (37% of attacks) — Ogden absorbs 37% of strikes there
🎯Ogden targets the head (76% of attacks) — Bahamondes absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bahamondes
RND
Ogden
0/0R00/0
Bahamondes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Ogden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Bahamondes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tofiq MusayevRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 6.2Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Christos GiagosRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Ogden · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loik RadzhabovRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Upcoming
Nikolas MottaUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 6.8Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04