Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

25 Jul 2026

Heavyweight

72%

Walker

28%

Petersen

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 1:32

Valter Walker

"The Clean Monster"

15 – 1

6'6"78" reachOrthodox28 yrs5-fight win streakSubmission Hunter

CFR 75

Thomas Petersen

"The Train"

11 – 4

Well-Rounded31 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"

CFR 30

★ Official Result

Valter WalkerwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:32

def. Thomas Petersen · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Walker

→

Actual result

Walker wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Walker is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Walker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Risk flags

Petersen has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

WalkerPetersen

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Walker

Petersen

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'6"+

Height

6'1"

78"+

Reach

74"

28+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Walker

Petersen

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

74.6

29.5

65.7

Performance Avg

32.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Walker

Petersen

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

/ 10

0.9

/ 10

9.5

Style: Pressure

1.3

1.7

Style: Volume

8.9

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance0

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Walker

Petersen

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.0

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

5.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

10.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Walker

Petersen

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/16 fights

Chin rating based on

7/15 fights

Walker

Petersen

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Walker

Petersen

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Walker

Petersen

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.9

8.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

5.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

10.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

9.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

1.3

1.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.9

Walker

Strike Zones

Petersen

Walker

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Petersen

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Walker targets the body (100% of attacks) — Petersen absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Walker

RND

Petersen

0/0R00/0

Walker · Last 5

W · Sub · R1

Thomas Petersen

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07

W · Sub · R1

Louie Sutherland

Submission

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

W · Sub · R1

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07

W · Sub · R1

Don'Tale Mayes

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

W · Sub · R1

Junior Tafa

Submission

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

Petersen · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Valter Walker

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Guilherme Pat

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04

L · KO · R3

Vitor Petrino

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

Don'Tale Mayes

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

L · KO · R1

Shamil Gaziev

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

News & Media

Valter Walker · Thomas Petersen

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