METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Gdansk, Poland
21 Oct 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
93%
Kowalkiewicz
7%
Esquibel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karolina KowalkiewiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jodie Esquibel · UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kowalkiewicz
→
Actual result
Kowalkiewicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Kowalkiewicz is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kowalkiewicz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Risk flags
Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KowalkiewiczEsquibel
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kowalkiewicz
Esquibel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"+
Height
5'1"
64"
Reach
64"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Esquibel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
2.6
35.6
Performance Avg
0.0
28
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Kowalkiewicz
Esquibel
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.1
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
16
14
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
33Distance21
14Clinch1
0Ground0
Kowalkiewicz
Esquibel
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kowalkiewicz
Esquibel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Esquibel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kowalkiewicz
Esquibel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kowalkiewicz
Esquibel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KowalkiewiczEsquibel
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedEsquibel
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (68% of attacks) — Esquibel absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Esquibel targets the head (73% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kowalkiewicz
RND
Esquibel
0/0R00/0
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriKO/TKO
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Iasmin LucindoDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Esquibel · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Hannah CifersDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AguilarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10