UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Las Vegas, USA
1 May 2021
Featherweight
VS
58%
III
42%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Kai
Kai Kamaka III
"Da Fighting Hawaiian"
18 – 7
5'7"69" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 38
TB
TJ Brown
"Downtown"
17 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsSwitch72" reach5'9"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: III

This is a genuine toss-up — III at 58% vs Brown at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

III has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brown has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

III
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+72"
31+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
III
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.8
27.8
35.0
Performance Avg
34.0
25
Quality of Victory
32
50
Momentum Score
40
III
Brown
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
61%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
18
3
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance20
0Clinch2
0Ground2
III
Brown
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
III
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
60
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
III
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
III
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

III
Brown
Striking1.0 / 0.8Volume9.0 / 6.1Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure1.5 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
III
Strike Zones
Brown
III
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD5BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Brown
Attacking
18HEAD5BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯III targets the head (69% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (75% of attacks) — III absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

III
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

III · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W3.2L5.5L4.5W2020-082020-112021-052026-04
WinLossTrend

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L5.5L4.6W4.5W5.8L5.5W3.0L4.5L2020-022021-052022-062023-042023-10
WinLossTrend

III · Last 5

Upcoming
Luke Riley
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Dakota HopeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
Upcoming
Danny Chavez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11

Brown · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Sub · R2
Bill AlgeoRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Sub · R3
Erik SilvaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Kai Kamaka III · TJ Brown
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