Kai Kamaka III vs TJ Brown — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka

Las Vegas, USA

1 May 2021

Featherweight

58%

III

42%

Brown

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Kai Kamaka III

"Da Fighting Hawaiian"

18 – 7

5'7"69" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 38

TJ Brown

"Downtown"

17 – 11

Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsSwitch72" reach5'9"

CFR 28

★ Official Result

TJ BrownwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Kai Kamaka III · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

III

→

Actual result

Brown wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — III at 58% vs Brown at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

III has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brown has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

IIIBrown

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

III

Brown

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

+5'9"

69"

Reach

+72"

31+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

III

Brown

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

37.8

27.8

35.0

Performance Avg

34.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

III

Brown

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.4

1.0

61%

Strike Accuracy

46%

1.0

Striking Style Score (/10)

0.8

0 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

13Distance20

0Clinch2

0Ground2

III

Brown

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

—

0.2

Sub Attempts / fight

0.3

2.4

Grappling Style Score (/10)

4.3

1.7

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

3.0

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

III

Brown

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/25 fights

Chin rating based on

8/28 fights

III

Brown

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Last 5

L · Sub · R3

L · Sub · R2

W · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

III

Brown

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

III

Brown

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.8

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.3

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

1.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.5

9.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.1

III

Strike Zones

Brown

III

Attacking

13 landed

Absorbing

24 absorbed

Brown

Attacking

24 landed

Absorbing

13 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯III targets the head (69% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 69% of strikes there

🎯Brown targets the head (75% of attacks) — III absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

III

RND

Brown

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

III · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4

WinLossTrend

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5

WinLossTrend

III · Last 5

Upcoming

Luke Riley

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Dakota HopeRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04

Upcoming

Danny Chavez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07

L · Dec · R3

TJ BrownRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05

L · KO · R2

Jonathan PearceRating 3.2

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11

Brown · Last 5

L · Sub · R3

Darren ElkinsRating 4.5

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

L · Sub · R2

Bill AlgeoRating 3

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

W · Sub · R3

Erik SilvaRating 5.5

Submission

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

L · Dec · R3

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 5.8

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06

W · Dec · R3

Charles RosaRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Kai Kamaka III · TJ Brown

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