METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Las Vegas, USA
1 May 2021
Featherweight
VS
53%
III
47%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
TJ BrownwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kai Kamaka III · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
III
→
Actual result
Brown wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — III at 53% vs Brown at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
III's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IIIBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
III
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+72"
31+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
III
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.9
27.8
31.0
Performance Avg
34.0
25
Quality of Victory
32
40
Momentum Score
40
III
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.2
Style: Pressure
3.5
8.8
Style: Volume
6.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
18
3
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance20
0Clinch2
0Ground2
III
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
III
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
III
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
III
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
III
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
IIIBrown
Strike Zones
III
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedBrown
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯III targets the head (69% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (75% of attacks) — III absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
III
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
III · Last 5
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