UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Welterweight
VS
50%
Usman
50%
Buckley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Kamaru
Kamaru Usman
"The Nigerian Nightmare"
21 – 4
6'0"76" reachSwitch39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Joaquin
Joaquin Buckley
"New Mansa"
21 – 8
Striker2-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw76" reach5'10"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Usman

This is a genuine toss-up — Usman at 50% vs Buckley at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Buckley throws more volume but Usman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Buckley has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Usman
Buckley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"
Reach
76"
39
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Usman
Buckley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
58.0
61.2
Performance Avg
50.6
46
Quality of Victory
41
55
Momentum Score
100
Usman
Buckley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
16
0
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance19
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Usman
Buckley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Usman
Buckley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
28
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
17/29 fights
Usman
Buckley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Usman
Buckley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Usman
Buckley
Striking4.2 / 6.8Volume7.2 / 3.5Grappling2.1 / 0.7Wrestling1.5 / 0.5Submission0.6 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Usman
Strike Zones
Buckley
Usman
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Buckley
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Buckley targets the head (80% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Usman
RND
Buckley
0/0R00/0

Usman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.6W4.5W4.7W5.6W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.7W4.5W6.8W4.5W5.5W5.1W5.8W5.1L6.6L7.4L5.7W2015-072017-092019-122022-082025-06
WinLossTrend

Buckley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.6L5.2W5.2W1.5L5.5W6.0W4.2W6.9L3.5L5.2W4.5W6.7W6.4W6.1W5.6W6.6L6.6L2020-082022-022023-102025-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Usman · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

Buckley · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Kamaru Usman · Joaquin Buckley
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