METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Welterweight
VS
50%
Usman
50%
Buckley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kamaru UsmanwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Joaquin Buckley · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Usman wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Usman at 50% vs Buckley at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Buckley throws more volume but Usman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Buckley has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UsmanBuckley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Usman
Buckley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"
Reach
76"
39
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Usman
Buckley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
58.0
61.2
Performance Avg
50.6
46
Quality of Victory
41
55
Momentum Score
100
Usman
Buckley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
16
0
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance19
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Usman
Buckley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Usman
Buckley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
28
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
17/29 fights
Usman
Buckley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Usman
Buckley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Buckley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
UsmanBuckley
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedBuckley
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Buckley targets the head (80% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Buckley
0/0R00/0
Usman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Buckley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Usman · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Buckley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05