UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun
Los Angeles, USA
24 Oct 2009
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Barry
47%
Hardonk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:30
PB
Pat Barry
"HD"
8 – 7
5'11"74" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
AH
Antoni Hardonk
8 – 6
Knockout Artist2-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barry

This is a genuine toss-up — Barry at 53% vs Hardonk at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Hardonk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barry's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hardonk has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barry
Hardonk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+78"
46+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barry
Hardonk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
17.0
47.3
Performance Avg
54.5
51
Quality of Victory
58
85
Momentum Score
13
Barry
Hardonk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
70%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
14Distance9
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Barry
Hardonk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barry
Hardonk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Barry
Hardonk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
13
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Barry
Hardonk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barry
Hardonk
Striking8.8 / 10.0Volume2.4 / 1.0Grappling0.5 / 0.0Wrestling0.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Barry
Strike Zones
Hardonk
Barry
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY7LEGS9 absorbed
Hardonk
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY7LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barry targets the head (88% of attacks) — Hardonk absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Hardonk targets the legs (78% of attacks) — Barry absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barry
RND
Hardonk
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W1.5L5.2W4.0L4.5W1.5L2.8L5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L1.5L2008-122010-062011-102012-122013-12
WinLossTrend

Hardonk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.2W2.8L2.8L2006-112007-082008-062009-042009-10
WinLossTrend

Barry · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Soa PaleleiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
W · KO · R2
Shane del RosarioRating 5.2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Christian MorecraftRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01

Hardonk · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Pat BarryRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
L · KO · R2
Cheick KongoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
W · KO · R2
Mike WesselRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Eddie SanchezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
W · KO · R1
Colin RobinsonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 80: Rapid Fire · 2008-01

News & Media

Pat Barry · Antoni Hardonk
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