UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
Sacramento, USA
17 Dec 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
28%
Smith
72%
Aldana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LS
Leslie Smith
"The Peacemaker"
10 – 7
5'9"66" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
Irene
Irene Aldana
15 – 8
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aldana

Aldana is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Smith
Aldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
66"
Reach
+68"
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Aldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
50.5
47.6
Performance Avg
46.5
41
Quality of Victory
39
79
Momentum Score
81
Smith
Aldana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
2.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
30
9
Body
3
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
45Distance32
5Clinch5
0Ground1
Smith
Aldana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Aldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Smith
Aldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
81
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Smith
Aldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Aldana
Striking6.1 / 4.9Volume5.1 / 5.1Grappling1.2 / 2.2Wrestling0.8 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure5.2 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Smith
Strike Zones
Aldana
Smith
Attacking
38HEAD9BODY3LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD3BODY5LEGS38 absorbed
Aldana
Attacking
30HEAD3BODY5LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD9BODY3LEGS50 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (76% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Aldana targets the head (79% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Aldana
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.0W4.8L4.5W1.5L5.3W6.3W2014-042014-112016-052017-07
WinLossTrend

Aldana · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W6.1L4.5W5.4W5.6L5.1W6.8W6.7L5.2W6.0L2016-122019-052020-102023-122024-09
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Amanda LemosRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cristiane JustinoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Rin NakaiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · R2
Jessica EyeRating 4.8
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11

Aldana · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

News & Media

Leslie Smith · Irene Aldana
← Back to fights