UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Porto Alegre, Brazil
22 Feb 2015
Lightweight
VS
55%
Barboza
45%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barboza
This is a genuine toss-up — Barboza at 55% vs Johnson at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Barboza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barboza
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barboza
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
36.8
46.3
Performance Avg
42.5
40
Quality of Victory
38
60
Momentum Score
35
Barboza
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
9 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
5
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Barboza
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Barboza
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Barboza
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
38%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barboza
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
BarbozaJohnson
Strike Zones
Barboza
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (55% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barboza
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Barboza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
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Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4KO/TKO
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