UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
Kallang, Singapore
11 Jun 2022
Welterweight
VS
37%
Fialho
63%
Matthews
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Matthews
Matthews holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Fialho has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fialho has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Fialho throws more volume but Matthews connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fialho's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matthews has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fialho
Matthews
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fialho
Matthews
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.8
55.4
47.4
Performance Avg
48.3
60
Quality of Victory
37
20
Momentum Score
100
Fialho
Matthews
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
46%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
19
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance17
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Fialho
Matthews
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fialho
Matthews
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
24
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
24/30 fights
Fialho
Matthews
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Fialho
Matthews
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
47%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
0
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fialho
Matthews
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
FialhoMatthews
Strike Zones
Fialho
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedMatthews
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fialho targets the head (83% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Matthews targets the head (95% of attacks) — Fialho absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fialho
RND
Matthews
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fialho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Matthews · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Fialho · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · KO · R2
Jake MatthewsRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · KO · R1
Cameron VanCampRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
Matthews · Last 5
Upcoming
Muslim SalikhovUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06