METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2025
Lightweight
VS
58%
McKinney
42%
Borshchev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:55
★ Official Result
Terrance McKinneywinsSubmissionR1 · 0:55
def. Viacheslav Borshchev · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McKinney
→
Actual result
McKinney wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McKinney at 58% vs Borshchev at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McKinney has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
McKinney's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Borshchev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McKinneyBorshchev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McKinney
Borshchev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
73"+
Reach
69"
31+
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
McKinney
Borshchev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.9
45.4
57.5
Performance Avg
41.3
58
Quality of Victory
47
98
Momentum Score
40
McKinney
Borshchev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
8.7
Style: Pressure
5.7
1.1
Style: Volume
3.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
McKinney
Borshchev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McKinney
Borshchev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
68
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
McKinney
Borshchev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
40
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
McKinney
Borshchev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McKinney
Borshchev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
McKinneyBorshchev
Strike Zones
McKinney
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBorshchev
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McKinney targets the head (100% of attacks) — Borshchev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Borshchev targets the body (50% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McKinney
RND
Borshchev
0/0R00/0
McKinney · Last 5
L · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanSubmission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
Borshchev · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matheus CamiloDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Terrance McKinneySubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
James LlontopDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Chase HooperSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05