METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Sao Paulo, Brazil
22 Sept 2018
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Sakai
44%
Sherman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:03
★ Official Result
Augusto SakaiwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:03
def. Chase Sherman · UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sakai
→
Actual result
Sakai wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sakai at 56% vs Sherman at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Sherman throws more volume but Sakai connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sakai's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SakaiSherman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sakai
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sakai
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.9
30.1
44.4
Performance Avg
38.4
37
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
46
Sakai
Sherman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
2.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
47
Head
12
11
Body
9
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
23Distance18
25Clinch6
12Ground0
Sakai
Sherman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sakai
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Sakai
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Sakai
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sakai
Sherman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
SakaiSherman
Strike Zones
Sakai
Attacking
60 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedSherman
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
60 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sakai targets the head (78% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sakai
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0
Sakai · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Sherman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Sakai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8Decision
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L · KO · R1
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L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemRating 4KO/TKO
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Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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