METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
New York City, USA
2 Nov 2019
Featherweight
VS
57%
Arce
43%
Dawodu
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Hakeem DawoduwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Julio Arce · UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arce
→
Actual result
Dawodu wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Arce at 57% vs Dawodu at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Arce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArceDawodu
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arce
Dawodu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
+73"
36
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Arce
Dawodu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
37.1
49.5
Performance Avg
41.5
43
Quality of Victory
29
65
Momentum Score
80
Arce
Dawodu
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
3.0
3.9
Style: Volume
7.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
9
5
Body
16
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
15Distance20
2Clinch8
0Ground0
Arce
Dawodu
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arce
Dawodu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Arce
Dawodu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
80
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Arce
Dawodu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
17%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arce
Dawodu
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
ArceDawodu
Strike Zones
Arce
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedDawodu
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arce targets the head (71% of attacks) — Dawodu absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Dawodu targets the body (57% of attacks) — Arce absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arce
RND
Dawodu
0/0R00/0
Arce · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Herbert BurnsKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Song YadongKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Andre EwellKO/TKO
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Dawodu · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaDecision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09