UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
Denver, USA
24 Sept 2011
Featherweight
VS
52%
Assuncao
48%
Yagin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Assuncao
This is a genuine toss-up — Assuncao at 52% vs Yagin at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Assuncao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Assuncao has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Assuncao
Yagin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
72"
Reach
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Assuncao
Yagin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
14.2
38.3
Performance Avg
35.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
55
Assuncao
Yagin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
65%
Strike Accuracy
27%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
3
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
30Ground0
Assuncao
Yagin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Assuncao
Yagin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Assuncao
Yagin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
55
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Assuncao
Yagin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Assuncao
Yagin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
AssuncaoYagin
Strike Zones
Assuncao
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedYagin
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the head (86% of attacks) — Yagin absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Yagin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Assuncao
RND
Yagin
0/0R00/0
Assuncao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Yagin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Assuncao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Eddie YaginRating 4.5Decision
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · Sub · R1
Nate DiazRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
David LeeRating 5.2Submission
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
L · Sub · R1
Kurt PellegrinoRating 1.5Submission
UFC 64: Unstoppable · 2006-10
Yagin · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Mark HominickRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Junior AssuncaoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09