UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2010
Lightweight
VS
41%
Stout
59%
Lauzon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lauzon
This is a genuine toss-up — Stout at 41% vs Lauzon at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Stout throws more volume but Lauzon connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Stout's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lauzon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Stout
Lauzon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stout
Lauzon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.3
17.7
35.3
Performance Avg
51.5
29
Quality of Victory
49
60
Momentum Score
59
Stout
Lauzon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
28%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
7
9
Body
0
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
41Distance2
4Clinch3
0Ground2
Stout
Lauzon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stout
Lauzon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Stout
Lauzon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Stout
Lauzon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
7
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stout
Lauzon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.7
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
StoutLauzon
Strike Zones
Stout
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedLauzon
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stout targets the head (62% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Lauzon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stout
RND
Lauzon
0/0R00/0
Stout · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Lauzon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Stout · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
KJ NoonsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R3
James KrauseRating 4Submission
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Lauzon · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01