UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Paris, France
28 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
60%
Ziam
40%
Frevola
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ziam
Ziam holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Frevola has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Frevola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Frevola throws more volume but Ziam connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Frevola has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ziam
Frevola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
71"
29+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ziam
Frevola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.1
38.6
51.1
Performance Avg
45.8
32
Quality of Victory
46
91
Momentum Score
20
Ziam
Frevola
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.9
55%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Ziam
Frevola
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ziam
Frevola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
8
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/22 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Ziam
Frevola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
20
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Ziam
Frevola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ziam
Frevola
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
ZiamFrevola
Strike Zones
Ziam
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedFrevola
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ziam targets the head (67% of attacks) — Frevola absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ziam
RND
Frevola
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ziam · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Frevola · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Ziam · Last 5
Upcoming
Tom NolanUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike DavisRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Matt FrevolaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Frevola · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyle NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Fares ZiamRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11