METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Paris, France
28 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
58%
Ziam
42%
Frevola
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:59
★ Official Result
Fares ZiamwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:59
def. Matt Frevola · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ziam
→
Actual result
Ziam wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ziam at 58% vs Frevola at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Frevola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Ziam's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Frevola has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ZiamFrevola
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ziam
Frevola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
71"
29+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ziam
Frevola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.3
38.6
45.8
Performance Avg
45.8
32
Quality of Victory
46
91
Momentum Score
20
Ziam
Frevola
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
6.9
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
5.6
7.3
Style: Volume
4.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Ziam
Frevola
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ziam
Frevola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
8
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Ziam
Frevola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Ziam
Frevola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ziam
Frevola
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
ZiamFrevola
Strike Zones
Ziam
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedFrevola
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ziam targets the head (67% of attacks) — Frevola absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ziam
RND
Frevola
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ziam · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Axel SolaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike DavisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Matt FrevolaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
Frevola · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyle NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Fares ZiamKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11