UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Atlantic City, USA
4 Jun 2005
Welterweight
VS
49%
Parisyan
51%
Serra
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Serra
This is a genuine toss-up — Parisyan at 49% vs Serra at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Serra has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Parisyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Parisyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Serra has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Parisyan
Serra
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
72"+
Reach
68"
43+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parisyan
Serra
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
18.2
46.5
Performance Avg
53.3
33
Quality of Victory
56
79
Momentum Score
52
Parisyan
Serra
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
37%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch1
16Ground0
Parisyan
Serra
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parisyan
Serra
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/35 fights
Chin rating based on
14/18 fights
Parisyan
Serra
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Parisyan
Serra
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Parisyan
Serra
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
ParisyanSerra
Strike Zones
Parisyan
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSerra
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Parisyan targets the head (89% of attacks) — Serra absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Serra targets the body (100% of attacks) — Parisyan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Parisyan
RND
Serra
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Parisyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Serra · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Parisyan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dennis HallmanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
Upcoming
Dong Hyun KimUFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
Serra · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · KO · R1
Frank TriggRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt HughesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R2
Georges St-PierreRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04