METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Atlantic City, USA
4 Jun 2005
Welterweight
VS
49%
Parisyan
51%
Serra
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karo ParisyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Serra · UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Serra
→
Actual result
Parisyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Parisyan at 49% vs Serra at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Serra has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Parisyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Serra has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ParisyanSerra
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Parisyan
Serra
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
72"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parisyan
Serra
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
18.2
46.5
Performance Avg
53.3
33
Quality of Victory
56
79
Momentum Score
52
Parisyan
Serra
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
4.5
7.3
Style: Volume
5.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch1
16Ground0
Parisyan
Serra
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Parisyan
Serra
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/35 fights
Chin rating based on
14/18 fights
Parisyan
Serra
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Parisyan
Serra
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Parisyan
Serra
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
ParisyanSerra
Strike Zones
Parisyan
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSerra
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Parisyan targets the head (89% of attacks) — Serra absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Serra targets the body (100% of attacks) — Parisyan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Parisyan
RND
Serra
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Parisyan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dennis HallmanKO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
Upcoming
Dong Hyun KimUFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanDecision
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanDecision
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
Serra · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleDecision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · KO · R1
Frank TriggKO/TKO
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt HughesDecision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R2
Georges St-PierreKO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreKO/TKO
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04