UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Middleweight
VS
67%
Brundage
33%
Maximov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brundage
Brundage holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Maximov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brundage has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Brundage has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brundage's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brundage
Maximov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+76"
32
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brundage
Maximov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.2
21.9
49.0
Performance Avg
35.0
53
Quality of Victory
25
26
Momentum Score
56
Brundage
Maximov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
3Clinch0
11Ground1
Brundage
Maximov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brundage
Maximov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Brundage
Maximov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
56
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brundage
Maximov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brundage
Maximov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
BrundageMaximov
Strike Zones
Brundage
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMaximov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brundage targets the head (94% of attacks) — Maximov absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Maximov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brundage
RND
Maximov
0/0R00/0
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Maximov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Brundage · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Donte JohnsonRating 7.2Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Cam RowstonRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
Upcoming
Mansur Abdul-MalikDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
Maximov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R1
Andre PetroskiRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Cody BrundageRating 5Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09