UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
San Antonio, USA
13 Sept 2025
Middleweight
VS
67%
Reese
33%
Dumas
Win Probability
Zach
Zach Reese
"Savage"
103
6'4"77" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Sedriques
Sedriques Dumas
"The Reaper"
105
Well-Rounded3-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'2"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Reese

Two middleweights who finish fights early are booked on Noche UFC — expect fireworks before the beer settles.

Noche UFC typically loads the card with fighters and finishes that honour the spirit of the event. Zach Reese versus Sedriques Dumas fits the brief perfectly — two middleweights who do not do slow starts, do not do safe decisions, and do not leave audiences wondering what could have been. Reese at 10-3 is a fast-starting middleweight with a reputation for overwhelming opponents early with physica…

Reese intel

Reese enters on a strong winning run and is fighting for a top-fifteen ranking that his recent form justifies. His physical conditioning for a middleweight is excellent and his willingness to engage in firefights means entertainment is guaranteed regardless of outcome.

Dumas intel

Dumas is a tall, powerful middleweight whose best tool is his reach-based striking game. He has struggled against wrestlers and pressure fighters in the past, which makes Reese's physical style a meaningful threat.

Key angles

Reese's ability to close distance quickly and take away Dumas's reach advantage

Whether Dumas can land his jab cleanly and keep Reese on the outside for extended periods

First-round pace: both fighters start fast, but Reese has better conditioning for rounds two and three

Dumas's chin if Reese is able to consistently pressure from inside

Risk flags

Dumas's reach and counter-striking can catch Reese coming in — the knockout threat is real on both sides

Reese's aggressive early pace can create openings for a composed counter-puncher

Reese
Dumas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+79"
32
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Reese
Dumas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.0
27.6
46.8
Performance Avg
30.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
88
Momentum Score
35
Reese
Dumas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
32%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Reese
Dumas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reese
Dumas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Reese
Dumas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
35
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Reese
Dumas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reese
Dumas
Striking3.6 / 0.8Volume5.1 / 8.8Grappling3.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 1.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Reese
Strike Zones
Dumas
Reese
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Dumas
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reese targets the body (50% of attacks) — Dumas absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Dumas targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reese
RND
Dumas
0/0R00/0

Reese · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.0L5.5W4.5W2.8L4.9W6.2W6.1L2023-122024-082025-052026-02
WinLossTrend

Dumas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0102.8L5.0W4.5W3.4L4.6W2.5L4.5L2.5L2023-032023-102024-082025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Reese · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Jackson McVeyRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
Upcoming
Sedriques Dumas
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Dusko TodorovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Azamat BekoevRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

Dumas · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeyRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Donte JohnsonRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
Upcoming
Zach Reese
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Denis TiuliulinRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

News & Media

Zach Reese · Sedriques Dumas
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