UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Johnson
49%
Albini
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:51
TJ
Timothy Johnson
12 – 4
6'3"77" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JA
Junior Albini
"Baby"
14 – 6
Knockout Artist4-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'3"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 51% vs Albini at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Albini has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Albini has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Albini has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Johnson
Albini
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
74"
41
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Albini
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
16.9
43.1
Performance Avg
44.0
34
Quality of Victory
60
83
Momentum Score
39
Johnson
Albini
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
2
Body
9
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance12
11Clinch7
0Ground2
Johnson
Albini
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Albini
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/20 fights
Johnson
Albini
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Johnson
Albini
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Albini
Striking3.6 / 10.0Volume7.1 / 0.4Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Johnson
Strike Zones
Albini
Johnson
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY10LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD9BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Albini
Attacking
11HEAD9BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY10LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Albini absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Albini targets the head (52% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 52% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Albini
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.5L4.9W6.8L4.5W1.5L4.5W2015-042016-042017-032018-02
WinLossTrend

Albini · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.0W6.2L1.5L3.8L1.5L2017-072017-112018-052019-022019-06
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marcelo GolmRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Junior AlbiniRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Daniel OmielanczukRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04

Albini · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Maurice GreeneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
W · KO · R1
Timothy JohnsonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07

News & Media

Timothy Johnson · Junior Albini
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