METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
St. Louis, USA
14 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
55%
Elkins
45%
Johnson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:22
★ Official Result
Darren ElkinswinsSubmissionR2 · 2:22
def. Michael Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Elkins wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Elkins at 55% vs Johnson at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElkinsJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elkins
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Elkins
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
36.8
45.5
Performance Avg
42.5
35
Quality of Victory
38
66
Momentum Score
35
Elkins
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
4.1
6.3
Style: Volume
6.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Elkins
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elkins
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
31/41 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Elkins
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Elkins
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elkins
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
ElkinsJohnson
Strike Zones
Elkins
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (67% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elkins
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
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Julian ErosaKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaDecision
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W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraKO/TKO
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