UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Oct 2020
Lightweight
VS
74%
Vendramini
26%
Ayari
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:12
LV
Luigi Vendramini
"The Italian Stallion"
9 – 3
5'8"73" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 27
JA
Jessin Ayari
16 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vendramini

Vendramini is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Vendramini has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Vendramini has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Vendramini's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Vendramini
Ayari
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
30+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vendramini
Ayari
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.4
9.7
46.0
Performance Avg
25.0
60
Quality of Victory
25
36
Momentum Score
28
Vendramini
Ayari
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
34%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Vendramini
Ayari
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vendramini
Ayari
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Vendramini
Ayari
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Vendramini
Ayari
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vendramini
Ayari
Striking10.0 / 0.5Volume0.5 / 8.5Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Vendramini
Strike Zones
Ayari
Vendramini
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Ayari
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vendramini targets the head (85% of attacks) — Ayari absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Ayari targets the head (50% of attacks) — Vendramini absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vendramini
RND
Ayari
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vendramini · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0103.3L5.0W6.7L3.2L2018-092020-102021-062021-09
WinLossTrend

Ayari · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L2016-092017-052018-102020-10
WinLossTrend

Vendramini · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · KO · R1
Jessin AyariRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09

Ayari · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Luigi VendraminiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Darren TillRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Jim WallheadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09

News & Media

Luigi Vendramini · Jessin Ayari
← Back to fights