UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Las Vegas, USA
10 Sept 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Walker
45%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:37
Johnny
Johnny Walker
22 – 10
6'6"82" reachOrthodox34 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 50
Ion
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
20 – 11
Well-Rounded32 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Walker

This is a genuine toss-up — Walker at 55% vs Cutelaba at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Walker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Walker's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Walker
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'1"
82"+
Reach
75"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Walker
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
40.5
54.6
Performance Avg
47.1
56
Quality of Victory
47
41
Momentum Score
26
Walker
Cutelaba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.7
59%
Strike Accuracy
45%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
1Clinch0
1Ground1
Walker
Cutelaba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Walker
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/32 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Walker
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
26
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Walker
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Walker
Cutelaba
Striking8.6 / 5.4Volume2.1 / 3.6Grappling1.3 / 2.6Wrestling0.9 / 1.8Submission1.3 / 2.2Pressure7.7 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Walker
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Walker
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Cutelaba
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Walker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (67% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Walker
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0

Walker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.9W5.0W5.0W1.5L6.7L5.4W5.5L2.8L5.3W5.7W5.7W3.7L2.3L7.2W6.5L2018-112020-032022-092024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Cutelaba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W6.5L5.0W5.0W3.1L5.9W3.0L3.0L4.5W1.9L2.3L4.0L5.6W6.2L4.5W5.9W6.3L6.0W2016-062019-042022-052024-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Walker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Cutelaba · Last 5

Upcoming
Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Johnny Walker · Ion Cutelaba
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