METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Las Vegas, USA
10 Sept 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
56%
Walker
44%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:37
★ Official Result
Johnny WalkerwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:37
def. Ion Cutelaba · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Walker
→
Actual result
Walker wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Walker at 56% vs Cutelaba at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Walker's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WalkerCutelaba
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Walker
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'1"
82"+
Reach
75"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Walker
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
40.0
54.6
Performance Avg
46.2
56
Quality of Victory
47
41
Momentum Score
26
Walker
Cutelaba
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.6
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
6.0
2.1
Style: Volume
3.6
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
1Clinch0
1Ground1
Walker
Cutelaba
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Walker
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/32 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Walker
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
26
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Walker
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walker
Cutelaba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
WalkerCutelaba
Strike Zones
Walker
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedCutelaba
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (67% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walker
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0
Walker · Last 5
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