UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
Oberhausen, Germany
13 Nov 2010
Welterweight
VS
10%
McCray
90%
Rocha
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:21
CE
CFR 20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rocha
Rocha is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rocha has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Rocha has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
McCray
Rocha
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
73"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCray
Rocha
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
19.5
0.0
Performance Avg
45.7
0
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
52
McCray
Rocha
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
McCray
Rocha
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McCray
Rocha
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
McCray
Rocha
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
McCray
Rocha
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McCray
Rocha
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
McCrayRocha
Strike Zones
McCray
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRocha
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McCray targets the body (67% of attacks) — Rocha absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rocha targets the head (50% of attacks) — McCray absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McCray
RND
Rocha
0/0R00/0
McCray · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Rocha · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
McCray · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · Sub · R1
Carlos Eduardo RochaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Sub · R2
Court McGeeRating 2.9Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
Rocha · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Sub · R1
Kris McCrayRating 5Submission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11