UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
London, United Kingdom
21 Feb 2009
Lightweight
VS
50%
Dunham
50%
Eklund
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:13
ED
Evan Dunham
18 – 9
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
PE
Per Eklund
14 – 5
Submission Hunter45 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dunham

This is a genuine toss-up — Dunham at 50% vs Eklund at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Eklund has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Eklund connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Dunham's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dunham
Eklund
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
44+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dunham
Eklund
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
16.3
40.1
Performance Avg
40.3
30
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
35
Dunham
Eklund
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
58%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
5
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance8
0Clinch0
6Ground1
Dunham
Eklund
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dunham
Eklund
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Dunham
Eklund
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dunham
Eklund
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dunham
Eklund
Striking2.0 / 0.7Volume6.9 / 0.7Grappling2.5 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.9 / 10.0Pressure2.9 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Dunham
Strike Zones
Eklund
Dunham
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Eklund
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dunham targets the head (100% of attacks) — Eklund absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Eklund targets the head (56% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dunham
RND
Eklund
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dunham · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.2W5.5L4.5W5.7L2.8L2.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.6W1.5L2.8L1.9L2009-022011-012013-052015-122020-06
WinLossTrend

Eklund · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.5L5.5W1.5L2008-012008-102009-02
WinLossTrend

Dunham · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil Dariush
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09

Eklund · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Evan DunhamRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · Sub · R3
Samy SchiavoRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 80: Rapid Fire · 2008-01

News & Media

Evan Dunham · Per Eklund
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