UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Newark, USA
27 Mar 2010
Welterweight
VS
43%
Saunders
57%
Fitch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fitch
This is a genuine toss-up — Saunders at 43% vs Fitch at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Saunders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Saunders throws more volume but Fitch connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Saunders's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Saunders
Fitch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
43+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saunders
Fitch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
21.0
46.4
Performance Avg
52.4
46
Quality of Victory
32
50
Momentum Score
100
Saunders
Fitch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
20
1
Body
10
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
2Distance6
2Clinch14
0Ground16
Saunders
Fitch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.1
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saunders
Fitch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.9 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/35 fights
Chin rating based on
18/37 fights
Saunders
Fitch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Saunders
Fitch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
29%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saunders
Fitch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.1
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
SaundersFitch
Strike Zones
Saunders
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedFitch
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saunders targets the head (50% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Fitch targets the head (56% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saunders
RND
Fitch
0/0R00/0
Saunders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Saunders · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08