UFC 70: Nations Collide
Manchester, United Kingdom
21 Apr 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
89%
Sakara
11%
Valimaki
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:44
AS
Alessio Sakara
"Legionarius"
19 – 11
6'0"72" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 18
VV
Victor Valimaki
"The Matrix"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sakara

Sakara is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sakara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Sakara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sakara's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sakara
Valimaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sakara
Valimaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
2.1
46.1
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
76
Momentum Score
0
Sakara
Valimaki
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
26%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Sakara
Valimaki
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sakara
Valimaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Sakara
Valimaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Sakara
Valimaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sakara
Valimaki
Striking7.5 / 0.0Volume3.5 / 0.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Sakara
Strike Zones
Valimaki
Sakara
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Valimaki
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sakara targets the head (100% of attacks) — Valimaki absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sakara
RND
Valimaki
0/0R00/0

Sakara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0104.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W6.3L1.5L4.0L1.5L2006-022007-092009-082012-112013-10
WinLossTrend

Valimaki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2006-122007-04
WinLossTrend

Sakara · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Nicholas MusokeRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick CoteRating 4
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian StannRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

Valimaki · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
David HeathRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12

News & Media

Alessio Sakara · Victor Valimaki
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