UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Donovan
56%
Villante
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Villante
This is a genuine toss-up — Donovan at 44% vs Villante at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Donovan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Donovan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Donovan's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Villante has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Donovan
Villante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
74"
Reach
+76"
45
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Donovan
Villante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
20.4
46.0
Performance Avg
40.8
60
Quality of Victory
42
22
Momentum Score
33
Donovan
Villante
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.2
1.4
62%
Strike Accuracy
42%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
13
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance12
1Clinch0
0Ground4
Donovan
Villante
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Donovan
Villante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Donovan
Villante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Donovan
Villante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
57%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Donovan
Villante
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
DonovanVillante
Strike Zones
Donovan
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedVillante
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Donovan targets the head (69% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Villante targets the head (81% of attacks) — Donovan absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Donovan
RND
Villante
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Donovan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Donovan · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Nick PennerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10