METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2016
Welterweight
VS
27%
Thatch
73%
Price
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:30
★ Official Result
Niko PricewinsSubmissionR1 · 4:30
def. Brandon Thatch · UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Price
→
Actual result
Price wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Price is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Thatch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Thatch's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Price has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThatchPrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thatch
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
41
Age
+36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Thatch
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
48.4
49.3
Performance Avg
46.0
60
Quality of Victory
49
33
Momentum Score
65
Thatch
Price
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
6.5
0.7
Style: Volume
2.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
0
Body
1
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance4
3Clinch1
0Ground1
Thatch
Price
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thatch
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
4
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Thatch
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Thatch
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thatch
Price
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
ThatchPrice
Strike Zones
Thatch
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPrice
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thatch targets the head (50% of attacks) — Price absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the head (50% of attacks) — Thatch absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thatch
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
Thatch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaSubmission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonSubmission
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Sub · R4
Benson HendersonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Paulo ThiagoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
Price · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06