UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Kansas City, USA
26 Apr 2025
Flyweight
VS
46%
Schnell
54%
Flick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Flick
This is a genuine toss-up — Schnell at 46% vs Flick at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Flick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Schnell throws more volume but Flick connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Schnell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Flick has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Schnell
Flick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
68"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schnell
Flick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.1
44.7
40.7
Performance Avg
44.4
37
Quality of Victory
52
45
Momentum Score
20
Schnell
Flick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
3Clinch0
4Ground0
Schnell
Flick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Schnell
Flick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/26 fights
Schnell
Flick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Schnell
Flick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schnell
Flick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
SchnellFlick
Strike Zones
Schnell
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedFlick
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schnell targets the head (91% of attacks) — Flick absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Flick targets the head (100% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schnell
RND
Flick
0/0R00/0
Schnell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Flick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Schnell · Last 5
Upcoming
Imanol RodriguezUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 2.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Flick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matt SchnellRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Nate ManessRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Malcolm GordonRating 5.2Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Alessandro CostaRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 2.4KO/TKO
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