UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Middleweight
VS
43%
Fremd
57%
Petroski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Petroski
This is a genuine toss-up — Fremd at 43% vs Petroski at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Petroski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fremd's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petroski has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fremd
Petroski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
73"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Fremd
Petroski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.1
44.3
35.7
Performance Avg
45.2
37
Quality of Victory
34
25
Momentum Score
63
Fremd
Petroski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
3
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance4
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Fremd
Petroski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fremd
Petroski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
13/19 fights
Fremd
Petroski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Fremd
Petroski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fremd
Petroski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
FremdPetroski
Strike Zones
Fremd
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedPetroski
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fremd targets the head (70% of attacks) — Petroski absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Petroski targets the body (50% of attacks) — Fremd absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fremd
RND
Petroski
0/0R00/0
Fremd · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Petroski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Fremd · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R2
Roman KopylovRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Sedriques DumasRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Tresean GoreRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
Petroski · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cody BrundageRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Cam RowstonRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Dylan BudkaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09