UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
75%
Namajunas
25%
VanZant
Win Probability
Submission
Round 5 · 2:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Namajunas
Namajunas is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
VanZant has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
VanZant has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Namajunas
VanZant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
65"
Reach
65"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
VanZant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
20.6
55.9
Performance Avg
49.2
51
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
84
Namajunas
VanZant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
58%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Namajunas
VanZant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Namajunas
VanZant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
62
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Namajunas
VanZant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Namajunas
VanZant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Namajunas
VanZant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
NamajunasVanZant
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedVanZant
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (100% of attacks) — VanZant absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯VanZant targets the head (33% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Namajunas
RND
VanZant
0/0R00/0
Namajunas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
VanZant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
VanZant · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Amanda RibasRating 1.6Submission
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · Sub · R2
Rachael OstovichRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · Sub · R1
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · KO · R2
Bec RawlingsRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08