METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
75%
Namajunas
25%
VanZant
Win Probability
Submission
Round 5 · 2:25
★ Official Result
Rose NamajunaswinsSubmissionR5 · 2:25
def. Paige VanZant · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Namajunas
→
Actual result
Namajunas wins
Submission · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Namajunas is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
VanZant has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NamajunasVanZant
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Namajunas
VanZant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
65"
Reach
65"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
VanZant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
20.6
54.8
Performance Avg
49.2
49
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
84
Namajunas
VanZant
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
7.3
5.9
Style: Volume
2.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Namajunas
VanZant
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Namajunas
VanZant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
62
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Namajunas
VanZant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Namajunas
VanZant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Namajunas
VanZant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
NamajunasVanZant
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedVanZant
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (100% of attacks) — VanZant absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯VanZant targets the head (33% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Namajunas
RND
VanZant
0/0R00/0
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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VanZant · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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W · Sub · R2
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R1
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W · KO · R2
Bec RawlingsKO/TKO
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