UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Flyweight
VS
69%
Filho
31%
Barez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Filho
Filho holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Barez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Filho has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Striking split: Barez throws more volume but Filho connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Filho
Barez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Filho
Barez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
25.5
52.4
Performance Avg
25.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
17
Filho
Barez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
8
Body
7
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
21Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Filho
Barez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Filho
Barez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Filho
Barez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
17
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Filho
Barez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Filho
Barez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
FilhoBarez
Strike Zones
Filho
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedBarez
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Filho targets the head (52% of attacks) — Barez absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Barez targets the head (44% of attacks) — Filho absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Filho
RND
Barez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Filho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Barez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Filho · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Clayton CarpenterRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Allan NascimentoRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ode OsbourneRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Sub · R1
Daniel BarezRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Barez · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Luis GuruleRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Andre LimaRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Jafel FilhoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

